National Association of Realtors

Pending home sales slid in April to their third-lowest level over the past year according to the latest Pending Home Sales Index data released by the National Association of Realtors (NAR) on Thursday. The report indicated that the index declined 1.3 percent in April to 106.4 from an upwardly revised 107.8 in March. On a year over year basis, the index was down 2.1 percent and declined for the fourth straight month.

“Pending sales slipped in April and continued to stay within the same narrow range with little signs of breaking out,” said Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist at NAR. “Listings are typically going under contract in under a month and instances of multiple offers are increasingly common and pushing prices higher.”

Watch what Yun had to say about the other factors that impacted pending home sales and his take on the :

 

Lake Nona-area plaza, tenants for future

A plaza near Lake Nona, a fast-growing community in southeast Orlando, is expanding and gaining medical and retail tenants.

The Narcoossee Retail Center, developed by Reich Properties Inc. at 865 N. Narcoossee Road in St. Cloud, will have two urgent care centers as tenants for its planned 10,800-square-foot second phase. A building that size may cost roughly $1 million to build, based on industry standards.

Nemours Children’s Primary Care, an urgent care center for children, will occupy 4,200 square feet. In addition, the St. Cloud Regional Medical Center will have a 2,000-square-foot urgent care center, Reich Properties President John Reich told Orlando Journal. “St. Cloud Regional Medical Center and Nemours both decided Narcoossee Road is a good place to be — it’s where St. Cloud meets .”

Medical City is a life sciences hub in that includes Nemours Children’s Hospital, the University of Central medical school, the Orlando VA Medical Center and more.

Nearly 5,000 square feet of the second phase remains available for tenants.

Reich Properties spokeswoman Coleen Taylor said the $2 million second phase is nearing constriction and will be delivered in first-quarter 2019.

Orlando-based Jordan & Associates Consulting Inc. is the engineering consultant for the project.

Plans for a third phase will bring an additional 11,000 square feet or more to the plaza. No timeline was given for that phase.

The first phase of Narcoossee Retail Center is complete and fully occupied by Building Brains Academy Language Immersion Preschool, Domino’s Pizza Bakery, All Flooring USA and The Nail Lounge & Spa.

Reich said the growing residential development in the area is driving demand for more commercial space. “Osceola County is a somewhat rural lifestyle, and you have to go to Osceola for that lifestyle. That’s why there are so many rooftops going up. There are enough rooftops now to support developing commercial,” Reich said.

He envisions the plaza’s second and third phases being fully occupied by health care providers such as dentists and orthopedics, along with restaurants.

Predicting the Housing Market and Economic Health

 

The next recession is likely to be triggered by monetary and trade policy according to experts surveyed by Zillow, and that could happen as early as 2020. Through its 2018 Q2 Zillow Home Price Survey, the real estate engine asked more than 100 real estate experts and economists about their predictions for the as well as the triggers for the next recession and when it would begin.

A very few, only nine, of the over 100 experts surveyed believed that the next downturn would be triggered by the housing market. “By most measures, the is doing well; GDP is growing steadily and unemployment is near historic lows. This has prompted the Federal Reserve to raise short-term interest rates four times since the start of 2017,” Zillow said in its survey. With two more rate hikes expected this year, the experts surveyed believed that raising rates too quickly could push the economy towards slower growth, leading to a recession.

Despite these misgivings, the respondents also thought that the housing market would continue to experience strong appreciation, predicting that home values in the U.S. would rise 5.5 percent in 2018 to a median of $220,000. They had predicted home values to rise 3.7 percent in 2018 during the same period last year.

“As we close in on the longest economic expansion this country has ever seen, meaningfully higher interest rates should eventually slow the frenetic pace of home value appreciation that we have seen over the past few years, a welcome respite for would-be buyers,” said Aaron Terrazas, Senior Economist at Zillow. “Housing is a critical issue in nearly every market across the country, and while much remains unknown about the precise path of the U.S. economy in the years ahead, another housing market crisis is unlikely to be a central protagonist in the next nationwide downturn.”

On average, panelists said they expected home value growth to slow further in coming years – to 4.1 percent by the end of next year, 2.9 percent in 2020, 2.6 percent in 2021 and 2.8 percent by 2022.

On mortgage credit, most of the respondents had a positive assessment of residential lending with 51 percent saying that today’s mortgage underwriting standards were “just about right, neither too tight, nor too loose.” Around 25 percent of respondents felt that underwriting standards were somewhat tight, whereas 21 percent said that they were somewhat loose.

A Record-breaking Month for the Housing Market

April was a quick selling month for the , according to Redfin. sold faster during the month than any other month Redfin has recorded since 2010, with homes staying on the market for just 36 days on average. This is six days faster than April of 2017. Homes were more expensive as well, with the national home sale price crossing the $300,000-mark for the first time in Redfin’s history. The median national home price was $302,000.

“Despite rising prices and low inventory, sales in 2018 so far are slightly higher than last year, which was the best year on record since the 2006 housing boom,” said Redfin Chief Economist Nela Richardson. “As we enter peak homebuying season, new listings will be key in maintaining sales growth and moderating the rapid price increases we’ve seen this year.”

In April the market gained a 5.7 percent month-over-month increase in newly listed homes , a welcome relief in a month that saw a 9.2 percent year-over-year decrease in available homes. Of all the homes for sale in April, 26.2 percent sold for above their list price, a year-over-year increase from April 2017’s 24.9 percent.

Redfin also notes that only 2.8 months of supply remained at the end of April, while six months of supply is the signal of a healthy market. Tough competition due to the limited supply has raised prices in every large metro; no metro area with a population of 750,000 or more saw any decline in prices in April.

 

 

According to Redfin, Michigan metros were the most competitive and fastest growing in the nation. Detroit experienced a 21.2 percent year-over-year price increase, the second highest in the nation behind San Jose, followed by Grand Rapids, where homes spent on average just nine days on the market.

“Detroit and Grand Rapids are no different than other cities dealing with low inventory. In addition, buyers are pouring in from the east coast, west coast, and Chicago, which is adding to the demand,” said Kent Selders, a Redfin Market Manager in Michigan.

See how inventory shortages and price increases are impacting other metros here.

Tavistock buys 1,000-plus acres of Orlando airport land for $64M

Lake Nona is expanding its boundaries south of and it now owns the land it needs.

Lake Nona developer  Development Co. LLC’s related entity TDCP LLC spent $63.9 million, or roughly $55,700 per acre, on May 10 for nearly 1,147 acres south of International Airport from the Greater Orlando Aviation Authority and the city of Orlando, Orange County records showed.

The three different parcels, two in Orange County and one in Osceola County along Narcoossee and Boggy Creek roads, will be used by Tavistock to develop a portion of a mixed-use project west of Narcoossee Road, north and east of Boggy Creek Road near the Orlando VA Medical Center, Tavistock spokeswoman Jessi Blakley told Orlando Business Journal.

The project, known as the Poitras planned development, includes:

  • 2,973
  • 100,000 square feet of commercial use
  • A school on 25 acres

Tavistock previously sought approval from the city earlier this month to rezone the property as a planned development with aircraft noise.

The 11,000-acre Lake Nona already has billions of dollars worth of underway and there’s even more growth ahead. See the photo gallery above for a sampling of Lake Nona projects in the works, and read more from OBJ‘s Doing Business in Lake Nona event from earlier this month.

UCF plans to move its Research Park nursing school

 

The University of Central Florida’s College of Nursing has outgrown its current location in Research Park and the school wants to build it a new home in .

faculty members are seeking approval on May 24 for a concept that will lead to a potential operating lease arrangement for a future Health Sciences and College of Nursing building near the existing College of Medicine.

The change is part of UCF’s plan to create several new colleges by July 2, including an Academic Health Sciences Center and the College of Health Professions & Sciences at Lake Nona, which eventually will include the College of Medicine and the College of Nursing. The goal is to help better organize the campuses to connect students with employers from industries in which they are earning degrees.

A presentation submitted by UCF College of Medicine Dean Dr. Deborah German and UCF College of Nursing Dean Mary Lou Sole says the UCF Real Estate Foundation will sell one of 50 acres of Lake Nona gift land to Alter+Care at fair market value for the project. Alter+Care is an existing partner with UCF that develops and finances health care, educational and outpatient facilities.

The proposed plans say Alter+Care would provide an operating lease for a Health Sciences and College of Nursing building adjacent the College of Medicine.

Alter+Care would design, build and finance a 150,000-square-foot building, with 90,000 square feet for College of Nursing and 60,000 square feet reserved for expansion and future Academic Health Sciences Center use, documents showed.

In exchange, UCF would offer a 25-year lease with renewal options for $17 per square foot, or $2.6 million. UCF will maintain the building, which the university estimated will have $1.5 million in operating expenses.

If the UCF Board of Trustees approves the plans, the next step is for Alter+Care to create schematic drawings of the building and develop the final terms of the operating lease.

  • Develop of schematic drawings and complete due diligence: June-October 2018
  • Finalize operating lease terms: October-December 2018
  • to start: January-June 2020
  • Targeted opening date: Spring semester 2022

The College of Nursing has nearly 3,000 students across three campuses, and colleges are being encouraged to produce even more as the state expects a shortage of 50,000 registered nurses by 2025, according to UCF.

The new college building would join the nearby UCF and Hospital Corp. of America’s (NYSE: HCA) 100-bed teaching hospital, which will be built in Lake Nona and open in 2020.

It also would pair nicely with the existing Sanford Burnham Prebys Medical Discovery Institute’s Lake Nona facility, whose assets UCF is seeking to take over and turn into a cancer research center.

“A campus containing all of UCF’s health-related programs will move one step closer to becoming a global destination for education, research and patient care — the Johns Hopkins of the future, only better,” German previously said regarding UCF’s plans to establish an Academic Health Sciences Center in Lake Nona.

The Impact of Supply Shortage on Luxury Housing

 

 

 

The supply shortage of is not limited to the median home only. The first quarter of 2018 saw the also feeling the heat of inventory shortage as prices for high-end homes saw the strongest appreciation in four years, according to a report on the luxury housing market by Redfin.

This quarterly report tracks home sales in more than 1000 cities across the country and defines a home as a luxury property if it is among the top 5 percent most expensive homes sold in the city during the quarter.

Prices for luxury homes rose nearly 8 percent to an average of $1.8 million during the quarter, Redfin found. However, this did nothing for sales of these homes which fell 20 percent marking four consecutive quarters of declining sales in this segment of the housing market.

“For the first time since changes to the tax code went into effect, luxury buyers could no longer deduct more than $10,000 in state and local property taxes or interest for mortgages over $750,000,” said Nela Richardson, Chief Economist at Redfin. “In a world of balanced supply and demand, these changes would have dampened price growth. Instead, this quarter saw the strongest luxury price appreciation in four years, demonstrating that the current inventory crunch is extremely broad-based and affects buyers at every price range.”

The inventory shortage is also escalating competition for luxury homes. The report indicated the average luxury home that sold last quarter went under contract after 82 days on the market, nine days faster than the same period last year. While only 1.5 percent of luxury homes were bid up over the asking price, that’s up from 1.3 percent in the first quarter of 2017.

In terms of regions, Florida and Nevada saw strong growth in prices of luxury homes with average sale prices in Vero Beach increasing 68 percent to $2.65 million over last year while those in Reno going up 51.3 percent. On the other hand, some cities known for their luxury homes actually saw a decline in prices.

Homes in Long Beach, California led this group of cities with prices falling 26.1 percent year-over-year in the first quarter. Prices in Washington, D.C. also saw a decline of 9.6 percent as did Fort Lauderdale, which saw prices falling 7.3 percent.

Developer plans new 2,558-acre community near Lake Nona

A planned 2,558-acre, mixed-use community going up near wants to change some of its plans.

The Starwood project, being developed by Beachline South Residential LLC on land south of State Road 528 and east of State Road 417, will add a high school and new signage into the mix of commercial uses and thousands of .

Applicant Dewberry Engineers Inc., which is the civil engineer and landscape architect for the project, sent a submittal to the city of Orlando to amend the future land-use map and planned-use development map. The request will be discussed at a June 19 municipal planning board meeting.

“The changes are mostly the result of an agreement reached with Orange County School Board regarding placement of a high school site within the development,” the project description reads. The changes are also a result of the road realignment on Dowden Road.

Beachline South Residential LLC, an entity of Palm Beach Gardens-based Land Innovations LLC, wants to build:

  • Office space on 1,680 acres
  • Commercial space on 81 acres
  • Public recreation and institutional areas consisting of 65 acres
  • Industrial space on 33 acres
  • Roughly 670 acres will be set aside for conservation.

The development team also includes Donal W. McIntosh Associates Inc. as the surveyor, VHB as the traffic consultant, Bio-Tech Consulting Inc. as the environmental consultant and Devo Engineering Co. as the geotechnical engineer.

Proposed home sites will range from 20-foot townhome lots to 70-foot estate lots, Mattamy Homes said in a news release. Communities amenities will include centers of different sizes throughout the community as well as a more than 20-mile system of interconnected walking trails and bike paths.

“Orlando continues to demonstrate that it is one of the strongest markets in the state of , as evidenced by the positive demographic trends including employment and population growth,” Mattamy Homes Orlando Division President Alex Martin previously said in a prepared statement. “We consider the Starwood Property an excellent complement to our existing Randal Park community and an opportunity to maintain our strong presence in this highly desirable and rapidly growing area of Central Florida.”

Jay Thompson, Land Innovations managing partner, had said the home prices would start at about $230,000 and go up to $1 million.

KPMG’s new $430M Lake Nona training complex

 

 

 

New York-based KPMG LLP, one of the world’s Big 4 accounting firms, will implement lots of useful technology for its employees at its new $430 million,  55-acre training facility in Lake Nona that will feature 800 guest rooms for the thousands of out-of-town employees who will come to town each year.

For example, one aspect will be technology that can guide visiting employees to their rooms at the new KPMG Training & Innovation Facility at 9313 Blvd., which is set for completion in 2019. It’s important to make it simple for people to navigate through the center, as it will generate about 48,000 annual visits to with roughly 1,000 passengers flying in and out of the Orlando International Airport each week. “It’s an 800,000-square-foot facility — you’re going to need to know where to go,” said Bill Flemming, KPMG’s managing director and head of management, during the 2018 State of Lake Nona Real Estate event on May 9. “We will use beacon wayfinding so you will be tracked via your cell phone to know where you are and direct you to know where to go in the building.”

The Orlando International Airport also uses beacon wayfinding to help travelers find restaurants and terminals.

The technology will take the KPMG experience a step further by preparing the guest’s room before they enter. “When you step off the plane at the airport, your iPhone will direct you to your room, and as you get closer to the facility, the phone will turn on [connection to] the room to get the climate control, the TV station you want— it gets the room ready for your specifications,” Flemming said.

He noted that this technology along with special amenities at the campus will help lure in top talent. “Part of the reason we are building this facility is that there’s a fight for talent out there. We have to have a cutting-edge building that attracts people and says ‘this company reflects training, innovation, and state-of-the-art design,’ ” he said. “We have amenities that make it a holistic experience. Not only do you come in for training, but we also want people to be relaxed and understand teamwork dynamics.”

For example, there’s going to be a social venue with a restaurant, a bar, and outdoor and indoor recreation facilities, as well as relaxation rooms.

Site grading for the facility began last year. Flemming said the team has been working through design plans over the year, and to speed up the construction timeline for the project, KPMG is prefabricating 800 restrooms, which will simply slide into the building. The firm also is prefabricating the exterior walls in an offsite warehouse.

Once the training center is open, it’s expected to create an enormous economic impact by bringing thousands of employees into the market and creating at least 80 high-wage jobs at the facility. Lynne Doughtie, CEO and U.S. chairman of KPMG, previously told Orlando Journal that KPMG is expecting to create 250 jobs in the next couple of years.

USTA National Campus to expand

The U.S. Tennis Association National Campus revealed that it wants to score more land for a future expansion to its 64-acre Lake Nona campus.

The $100 million campus, the largest tennis training center in the nation, wants to acquire adjacent land from developer Tavistock Development Co. LLC, Kurt Kamperman, the ‘s chief executive for community tennis and the campus, told  Business Journal during the Orange County Property Appraiser’s 2018 State of event on May 9.

was not immediately available for comment.

Kamperman said he’s talking with Tavistock about “trading a few pieces of land” for the expansion and that the newly acquired land would be within 100 yards or so of the existing USTA campus. “We’re working with Tavistock to find some adjacent land that would give us the opportunity to build a small stadium court for events and possibly have additional indoor courts.”

The reason behind the need for more indoor courts is basic: During the rainy season in July and August, the organization has only six indoor courts for people to use, Kamperman said.

Meanwhile, adding a small stadium court/amphitheater will allow the USTA campus to accommodate larger tennis events. “We would like the ability to host the Davis Cup or Fed Cup and the ability to host smaller professional events,” Kamperman said. “It’s not a set plan, but we would like to have that opportunity down the road.”

The campus currently has 100 tennis courts ranging from green clay to hard, acrylic cushion courts, indoor courts and European Terre Davis red clay. It also incorporates smart technology, allowing the players to record and review their movements, mistakes, and training.