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Orlando OKs conditional plan for $107M Creative Village apartment complex

The City Commission today helped move forward two pieces of the planned $1 billion, 68-acre, mixed-used Creative Village in downtown.

The commissioners voted unanimously during the Sept. 4 city council meeting to give conditional approval of a $107 million, 390-unit apartment complex. The Creative Village Design Review Committee still wants to review certain aspects of the apartment project such as the streetscape, parking, architecture, and appearance, before it gets full approval.

The commissioners also gave full approval for a 9,221-square-foot central cooling system building for the planned Downtown, a campus that will be shared by the University of Central Florida and  College The UCF energy plant building will include condenser water pumps and cooling towers located outside the building. The structure will be the only plant for the downtown campus.

The apartment complex is a joint venture between Orlando-based Ustler Development Inc. — whose related Creative Village Development LLC is the master developer of Creative Village — and Coral Gables-based apartment developer The Allen Morris Co. The project is slated for a 1.6-acre site on the southwest corner of Amelia Street and Terry Avenue, which is known as “parcel M,” according to city documents.

Creative Village is expected to attract 8,000 faculty, staff and students when UCF Downtown opens in fall 2019 — two to three times more people than initially anticipated, according to Ustler Development Inc. President Craig Ustler. The number of apartment units was increased from 250 in the previous plan to 390 in July due to that increased demand.

The apartment complex, which could open by mid-2020, will feature mostly studio and one-bedroom units, each with a washer and dryer. The ground floor has a 6,500-square-foot commercial space that may house a food and a social hall. The project also will include a 570-space parking garage, a public courtyard, and a beer garden, said Ustler.

  • Dallas-based Mill Creek Residential Trust plans to build an estimated $59 million-$90 million, 250- to 300-unit market-rate apartment complex on the east side of Central Park.
  • Ustler Development and Development Ventures Group Inc. are underway on a 15-story, $105 million student-housing project with 600 beds and 105,000 square feet of educational space leased to UCF and Valencia College.
  • Winter Park-based Atlantic Housing Partners LLLP is building the $60 million, 256-unit Amelia Court at Creative Village mixed-income community.

These projects add to the boom in apartment in the region. Orlando reported a 3.2 percent vacancy rate in the multifamily sector, which is among the lowest for Southeastern cities, according to the most recent report by Charlotte, N.C.-based Real Data Inc. There are more than 11,700 apartments in Central Florida’s construction pipeline, and roughly 30 percent of those units are being built in downtown Orlando.

The average monthly apartment rent for the central submarket, which includes downtown Orlando, is $1,499, up from $1,381 a year ago, Real Data reported. Occupancy rates are expected to remain higher than 95 percent over the next year, well above average among Southeastern cities, which should trigger even more rent growth, according to the report.

UCF Downtown also is expected to bring a major economic impact to the area. The campus is forecast to generate 2,000 jobs and a $205 million economic impact in the next few decades. “There’s a lot of different facets — certainly there’s the economic development aspect of growing our downtown and having the university campus there,” Orlando Mayor Buddy Dyer told Orlando Journal. “It’s good for UCF and the students who will have internships and be closer to businesses that are in their majors.”

CoreLogic Home Price Insights – July 2018

 

The CoreLogic Home Price Insights report features an interactive view of our Home Price Index product with analysis through July 2018 with Forecasts from August 2018 including live maps.

CoreLogic HPI™ is designed to provide an early indication of home price trends. The indexes are fully revised with each release and employ techniques to signal turning points sooner.

CoreLogic HPI Forecasts™ (with a thirty-year forecast horizon), project CoreLogic HPI levels for two tiers—Single-Family Combined (both Attached and Detached) and Single-Family Combined excluding distressed sales.

The report is published monthly with coverage at the national, state and Core Based Statistical Area (CBSA)/Metro level and includes home price indices (including distressed sale); home price forecast and market condition indicators. The data incorporates more than 40 years of repeat-sales transactions for analyzing home price trends.

July 2018 National Home Prices
Home prices nationwide, including distressed sales, increased year over year by 6.2 percent in July 2018 compared with July 2017 and increased month over month by 0.3 percent in July 2018 compared with June 2018 (revisions with public records data are standard, and to ensure accuracy, CoreLogic incorporates the newly released public data to provide updated results).

Forecast Prices Nationally
The CoreLogic HPI Forecast indicates that home prices will increase by 5.1 percent on a year-over-year basis from July 2018 to July 2019, and on month-over-month basis home prices are expected to decrease slightly by 0.2 from July 2018 to August 2018.

The CoreLogic HPI Forecast is a projection of home prices using the CoreLogic HPI and other economic variables. Values are derived from state-level forecasts by weighting indices according to the number of owner-occupied households for each state.

Orlando Developer Starts plans for Large Development

 

 

Unicorp ’s most prominent developer is pursuing its latest $200 million projects in an area that’s heating up for retail developers — and that represents a major shift in the market.

That’s according to Jorge Rodriguez, executive managing director at Colliers International Central , who is representing Orlando-based Unicorp National Developments Inc. in the purchase of a roughly 150-acre site in Daytona Beach’s fast-developing area of Interstate 95 and LPGA Boulevard.

“[Historically], all the retail was along International Speedway Boulevard,” Rodriguez said. “What’s happening is Daytona’s gotten to the point where there’s no more land to be developed there … It’s jumped north to LPGA and I-95.”

New projects in that area likely will be more attractive to consumers, added John Albright, president, and CEO of Consolidated-Tomoka Land Co. (NYSE: CTO), Daytona Beach’s largest landowner and soon-to-be seller of the site Unicorp has under contract.

In fact, developers have been buying up chunks of land from Consolidated-Tomoka for years, creating a massive economic impact for the community. The largest land sale was to Minto Communities, which partnered with Margaritaville HoldingsInc. to build the $1 billion Jimmy Buffett-themed Latitude Margaritaville — a massive active-adult, the mixed-use community now under .

Additionally, the $91 million, 350,000-square-foot Tanger Outlets opened in 2016, and North American Development Group is anticipating a fall opening of its estimated $80 million, 400,000-square-foot Tomoka Town Center featuring T.J. Maxx, Hobby Lobby, Academy Sports + Outdoors and more.

Since 2011, Consolidated-Tomoka’s land sales in this area have resulted in $1.5 billion in total capital investment in Daytona Beach, adding more than 3,500 jobs, according to company documents.

“You have a large influx of new population, and a great regional draw as far as the interstate and LPGA [Boulevard],” Albright said. “It’s all coming together.”

Meanwhile, Unicorp plans to start construction on its new project in first-quarter 2019. The first 23-acre phase, dubbed Shoppes at Williamson Crossing, will feature about 100,000 square feet of un-anchored shops and restaurants. No tenants have been signed, but Unicorp President Chuck Whittall said his company is in talks with about 30 potential tenants.

Sales of previously owned US Homes update

US HOME SALES DROP TO 2 YEAR LOW
Sales of previously owned U.S. unexpectedly slumped for a fourth month to the weakest in more than two years, signaling higher prices and tight supplies continue to squeeze demand, a National Association of Realtors report showed Wednesday.
HIGHLIGHTS OF EXISTING-HOME SALES (JULY)
• Contract closings fell 0.7% m/m to a 5.34m annual rate (est. 5.4m), the slowest pace since Feb. 2016, after unrevised 5.38m
• Median sales price increased 4.5% y/y to $269,600
• Inventory of available properties unchanged y/y at 1.92mKey Takeaways
The report adds to other recent signs of cooling in real estate markets. Prospective home buyers are increasingly discouraged by rising borrowing costs and property-price increases that are outpacing wage growth. The share of Americans who say it’s a good time to buy a home fell in August to 63 percent, the smallest since 2008, the University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey showed on Friday.

Continuing declines in purchases of single-family homes and cheaper properties suggest that the market is being supported by an increasing concentration of activity among those with higher income and financial assets.

The slump was led by an 8.3 percent decline in the Northeast, while the South and Midwest also decreased. Sales rose in the West.

Official’s Views
The decline in sales “has been a slow drip, and the is the same story, where we’re lacking inventory,” Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist, said at a press briefing accompanying the report.

Other Details
• At the current pace, it would take 4.3 months to sell the homes on the market, unchanged from the prior month; Realtors group considers less than five months’ supply consistent with a tight market
• Single-family home sales fell 0.2 percent to an annual rate of 4.75 million
• Purchases of condominium and co-op units dropped 4.8 percent to a 590,000 pace
• First-time buyers made up 32 percent of all sales, compared with 31 percent in the prior month
• Homes were on the market for an average 27 days, compared with 26 days in June
• 55 percent of homes sold in July were on market for less than a month, NAR said
• Existing home sales account for 90 percent of the market and are calculated when a contract closes; new home sales, considered a timelier indicator though their share is only about 10 percent, are tabulated when contracts get signed

BY: Jeff Kearns and Katia Dmitrieva

Happy Sellers and Buyers,and Customers

As a Real Estate  for over 28 years, my ultimate goal is to let my experience and knowledge help my customers realize their goal, which is to sell or buy there home.  Do I get asked how  I differ from all the other agent’s out there? Well, the answer is my experience and my past record does speak for itself not only in what I do but how I do it! Most agents will do the minimum marketing to save a dollar in their pockets and never think “out of the Box”. My team is taught to always find new ways to get every unique customer’s home out to the largest population of potential buyers and sellers by concentrating not on the cost but to find the qualified buyers and sellers. All agents will do the general work as to put you in MLS (Multiple Listing Service} and send out postcards but what else do they generally do? Well if your working with our team you not only get the Standard marketing you get Worldwide Marketing with over 86 different websites as well as we as a team call your neighbors and our database of over 14,000 people to let them know you have placed your home on the market or you are looking for a particular home. In short, we always go above and beyond to help our customers not only get what they want but to save as much money as possible in the process and make everything very smooth all the way through closing.

https://youtu.be/aZ7Dc9cMHGU

 

Core Logic report of Homes Sales Statistics

 

 

The CoreLogic Home Price Insights report features an interactive view of our home price analysis through May 2018 with Forecasts from June 2018 including live maps.

CoreLogic HPI™ is designed to provide an early indication of home price trends. The indexes are fully revised with each release and employ techniques to signal turning points sooner.

CoreLogic HPI Forecasts™ (with a thirty-year forecast horizon), project CoreLogic HPI levels for two tiers—Single-Family Combined (both Attached and Detached) and Single-Family Combined excluding distressed sales.

The report is published monthly with coverage at the national, state and Core Based Statistical Area (CBSA)/Metro level and includes home price indices (including distressed sale); home price forecast and market condition indicators. The data incorporates more than 40 years of repeat-sales transactions for analyzing home price trends.

https://www.corelogic.com/insights-download/corelogic-home-price-insights.aspx

May 2018 National Home Prices

Home prices nationwide, including distressed sales, increased year over year by 7.1 percent in May 2018 compared with May 2017 and increased month over month by 1.1 percent in May 2018 compared with April 2018 (revisions with public records data are standard, and to ensure accuracy, CoreLogic incorporates the newly released public data to provide updated results).

 

Forecast Prices Nationally

The CoreLogic HPI Forecast indicates that home prices will increase by 5.1 percent on a year-over-year basis from May 2018 to May 2019, and on month-over-month basis home prices are expected to be up 0.3 percent from May 2018 to June 2018.

The CoreLogic HPI Forecast is a projection of home prices using the CoreLogic HPI and other economic variables. Values are derived from state-level forecasts by weighting indices according to the number of owner-occupied households for each state.

HOUSING INVENTORY: LOWEST IN DECADES

 

 

 

 

 

 

Resale inventory is at the lowest level in more than 18 years and continues to decrease. New home construction hasn’t kept pace with demand, and the result is an inventory shortage at a time when demographic and economic indicators are moving upward for the .

One way to measure for-sale housing inventory is with “months’ supply,” which shows how many months it would take to sell the available inventory at the current sales pace, as if no other came on the market, which is unlikely but it is a good snapshot to measure health.

Month's Supply Lowest In More Than 18 Years

The housing market is seasonal, so when comparing the data over time we look at these numbers for the same month of each year. In March 2018, the months’ supply was approximately 3.8 months measured across the country, which means it would take only 3.8 months to sell all the existing houses listed at the March 2018 sales pace.  The March 2018 supply was about the same level as in March 2017, but well below where it was during the Great Recession, and tighter than it was before the housing boom. By this measure, inventory is the tightest it’s been in over 18 years.

Inventory Tight for Entry-Level Buyers

When we dig deeper into inventory at different price levels we see that inventory for entry-level homes is even tighter. Using the median price as the reference, we look at months’ supply for homes listed at different price points, for those homes listed at the entry-level (priced from 50 percent of median sale price up to 25 percent above) there was only a 3-month supply available for sale. There is more supply at higher price points – close to 7 months for homes listed for more than twice the median sale price.

Areas of the country with strong job growth have even lower supply. Denver, Seattle, and San Francisco have about 2 months of supply, making each of those cities a sellers’ market. Miami, with a supply made up mostly of condos, has the highest supply of the largest metros at 9 months.

Month's Supply in Large Metro Areas

The incredibly tight inventory on the low end has pushed prices up for that segment of the market. As measured by the CoreLogic Home Price Index, prices for lower-end homes increased by almost 10 percent year over year in March 2018, while prices for higher-priced homes increased by 6 percent. Increases for lower-end homes can price entry-level buyers out of the housing market, keeping a lid on overall home sales.

© 2018 CoreLogic, Inc. All rights reserved.

 

 

 

Resale inventory is at the lowest level in more than 18 years and continues to decrease. New home construction hasn’t kept pace with demand, and the result is an inventory shortage at a time when demographic and economic indicators are moving upward for the housing market.

One way to measure for-sale housing inventory is with “months’ supply,” which shows how many months it would take to sell the available inventory at the current sales pace, as if no other homes came on the market, which is unlikely but it is a good snapshot to measure health.

Month's Supply Lowest In More Than 18 Years

The housing market is seasonal, so when comparing the data over time we look at these numbers for the same month of each year. In March 2018, the months’ supply was approximately 3.8 months measured across the country, which means it would take only 3.8 months to sell all the existing houses listed for sale at the March 2018 sales pace.  The March 2018 supply was about the same level as in March 2017, but well below where it was during the Great Recession, and tighter than it was before the housing boom. By this measure, inventory is the tightest it’s been in over 18 years.

Inventory Tight for Entry-Level Buyers

When we dig deeper into inventory at different price levels we see that inventory for entry-level homes is even tighter. Using the median price as the reference, we look at months’ supply for homes listed at different price points, for those homes listed at the entry-level (priced from 50 percent of median sale price up to 25 percent above) there was only a 3-month supply available for sale. There is more supply at higher price points – close to 7 months for homes listed for more than twice the median sale price.

Areas of the country with strong job growth have even lower supply. Denver, Seattle, and San Francisco have about 2 months of supply, making each of those cities a sellers’ market. Miami, with a supply made up mostly of condos, has the highest supply of the largest metros at 9 months.

Month's Supply in Large Metro Areas

The incredibly tight inventory on the low end has pushed prices up for that segment of the market. As measured by the CoreLogic Home Price Index, prices for lower-end homes increased by almost 10 percent year over year in March 2018, while prices for higher-priced homes increased by 6 percent. Increases for lower-end homes can price entry-level buyers out of the housing market, keeping a lid on overall home sales.

© 2018 CoreLogic, Inc. All rights reserved.

National Association of Realtors

Pending home sales slid in April to their third-lowest level over the past year according to the latest Pending Home Sales Index data released by the National Association of Realtors (NAR) on Thursday. The report indicated that the index declined 1.3 percent in April to 106.4 from an upwardly revised 107.8 in March. On a year over year basis, the index was down 2.1 percent and declined for the fourth straight month.

“Pending sales slipped in April and continued to stay within the same narrow range with little signs of breaking out,” said Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist at NAR. “Listings are typically going under contract in under a month and instances of multiple offers are increasingly common and pushing prices higher.”

Watch what Yun had to say about the other factors that impacted pending home sales and his take on the :

 

Predicting the Housing Market and Economic Health

 

The next recession is likely to be triggered by monetary and trade policy according to experts surveyed by Zillow, and that could happen as early as 2020. Through its 2018 Q2 Zillow Home Price Survey, the real estate engine asked more than 100 real estate experts and economists about their predictions for the as well as the triggers for the next recession and when it would begin.

A very few, only nine, of the over 100 experts surveyed believed that the next downturn would be triggered by the housing market. “By most measures, the is doing well; GDP is growing steadily and unemployment is near historic lows. This has prompted the Federal Reserve to raise short-term interest rates four times since the start of 2017,” Zillow said in its survey. With two more rate hikes expected this year, the experts surveyed believed that raising rates too quickly could push the economy towards slower growth, leading to a recession.

Despite these misgivings, the respondents also thought that the housing market would continue to experience strong appreciation, predicting that home values in the U.S. would rise 5.5 percent in 2018 to a median of $220,000. They had predicted home values to rise 3.7 percent in 2018 during the same period last year.

“As we close in on the longest economic expansion this country has ever seen, meaningfully higher interest rates should eventually slow the frenetic pace of home value appreciation that we have seen over the past few years, a welcome respite for would-be buyers,” said Aaron Terrazas, Senior Economist at Zillow. “Housing is a critical issue in nearly every market across the country, and while much remains unknown about the precise path of the U.S. economy in the years ahead, another housing market crisis is unlikely to be a central protagonist in the next nationwide downturn.”

On average, panelists said they expected home value growth to slow further in coming years – to 4.1 percent by the end of next year, 2.9 percent in 2020, 2.6 percent in 2021 and 2.8 percent by 2022.

On mortgage credit, most of the respondents had a positive assessment of residential lending with 51 percent saying that today’s mortgage underwriting standards were “just about right, neither too tight, nor too loose.” Around 25 percent of respondents felt that underwriting standards were somewhat tight, whereas 21 percent said that they were somewhat loose.

A Record-breaking Month for the Housing Market

April was a quick selling month for the , according to Redfin. sold faster during the month than any other month Redfin has recorded since 2010, with homes staying on the market for just 36 days on average. This is six days faster than April of 2017. Homes were more expensive as well, with the national home sale price crossing the $300,000-mark for the first time in Redfin’s history. The median national home price was $302,000.

“Despite rising prices and low inventory, sales in 2018 so far are slightly higher than last year, which was the best year on record since the 2006 housing boom,” said Redfin Chief Economist Nela Richardson. “As we enter peak homebuying season, new listings will be key in maintaining sales growth and moderating the rapid price increases we’ve seen this year.”

In April the market gained a 5.7 percent month-over-month increase in newly listed homes , a welcome relief in a month that saw a 9.2 percent year-over-year decrease in available homes. Of all the homes for sale in April, 26.2 percent sold for above their list price, a year-over-year increase from April 2017’s 24.9 percent.

Redfin also notes that only 2.8 months of supply remained at the end of April, while six months of supply is the signal of a healthy market. Tough competition due to the limited supply has raised prices in every large metro; no metro area with a population of 750,000 or more saw any decline in prices in April.

 

 

According to Redfin, Michigan metros were the most competitive and fastest growing in the nation. Detroit experienced a 21.2 percent year-over-year price increase, the second highest in the nation behind San Jose, followed by Grand Rapids, where homes spent on average just nine days on the market.

“Detroit and Grand Rapids are no different than other cities dealing with low inventory. In addition, buyers are pouring in from the east coast, west coast, and Chicago, which is adding to the demand,” said Kent Selders, a Redfin Market Manager in Michigan.

See how inventory shortages and price increases are impacting other metros here.