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New office space slated for Lake Nona Town Center

By Jack Witthaus  – Staff Writer, Journal

The Orlando-based developer, Tavistock Development Co. is planning for a new 120,000-square-foot office building in the Lake Nona Town Center. It’s the third office project in the $780 million, 3.8 million-square-foot, mixed-use town center that is developing in partnership with Columbus, Ohio-based Steiner + Associates.

is expected to begin before the end of the year.

“Leasing for the building is going very well,” Senior Sales and Leasing Associate Ginger Vetter said in a statement about the second building, which has yet to open. “We expect to announce another regional headquarters and other tenants soon. With the momentum from this building, we’re moving forward with another new, Class A office building.”

The third building’s general contractor is Barton Malow Co., and the architect is a partnership between Gensler and HuntonBrady Architects. Tavistock spokesperson Karlee Kunkle declined to say whether or not a tenant had been signed for the third building or what percentage of the second building has been leased.

The third building’s revelation comes after the second building — an estimated $20 million, Class A 155,000-square-foot, six-story office building at the southwest corner of Veteran’s Way and Boulevard — topped out in March. The second building, called Town Center Office II, is part of the town center’s $300 million Phase 2A. The building was slated to be completed by the end of this year.

So far, BBA Aviation Plc., parent company to Signature Flight Support in Orlando, has signed a 65,000-square-foot lease inside Town Center Office II.

It’s no surprise that there’s interest in the airport/Lake Nona office submarket as average Class A office rents are $30.18 per square foot — the highest in Central and ahead of Orlando’s average of $25.93 per square foot, Cushman & Wakefield (NYSE: CWK) reported. Part of the demand for office space might have to do with Lake Nona’s growing Medical City, which could be spurring other businesses to relocate to the area to serve that new employment base, said Nicole Barry, vice president and director of operations at Tower Realty Partners Inc.

Meanwhile, construction continues on the second phase of Lake Nona Town CenterOrlando Business Journal previously learned about three dozen major retailers — from American Eagle Outfitters (NYSE: AEO) to Dick’s Sporting Goods (NYSE: DKS) — are lining up for a spot inside the town center. Tavistock wouldn’t confirm any of the potential retailers as tenants, but the company recently announced that Dallas-based cinema Cinepolis USA will open a nine-screen, 40,000-square-foot cinema in 2020 in the town center.

The fast-growing community in southeast Orlando boasts more than 11,000 residents, 5,000 employees and 14,000-plus students at its schools.

Tavistock buys 1,000-plus acres airport land

is expanding its boundaries south of and it now owns the land it needs.

Lake Nona developer Tavistock Development Co. LLC’s related entity TDCP LLC spent $63.9 million, or roughly $55,700 per acre, on May 10 for nearly 1,147 acres south of Orlando International Airport from the Greater Orlando Aviation Authority and the city of Orlando, Orange County records showed.

The three different parcels, two in Orange County and one in Osceola County along Narcoossee and Boggy Creek roads, will be used by  to develop a portion of a mixed-use project west of Narcoossee Road, north and east of Boggy Creek Road near the Orlando VA Medical Center, Tavistock spokeswoman Jessi Blakley told Orlando Journal.

The project, known as the Poitras planned development, includes:

  • 2,973
  • 100,000 square feet of commercial use
  • A school on 25 acres

Tavistock previously sought approval from the city earlier this month to rezone the property as a planned development with aircraft noise.

The 11,000-acre Lake Nona already has billions of dollars worth of underway and there’s even more growth ahead.

NAR Pending Home Sales Report

WASHINGTON (August 29, 2018) — Pending home sales stepped back in July and have now fallen on an annual basis for seven straight months, according to the National Association of Realtors®.

The Pending Home Sales Index, a forward-looking indicator based on contract signings, decreased 0.7 percent to 106.2 in July from 107.0 in June. With last month’s decline, contract signings are now down 2.3 percent year-over-year.

Lawrence Yun, the NAR chief economist, says the housing market’s summer slowdown continued in July. “Contract signings inched backward once again last month, as declines in the South and West weighed down on overall activity,” he said. “It’s evident in recent months that many of the most overheated real estate markets – especially those out West – are starting to see a slight decline in home sales and slower price growth.”

Added Yun, “The reason sales are falling off last year’s pace is that multiple years of inadequate supply in markets with strong job growth have finally driven up home prices to a point where an increasing number of prospective buyers are unable to afford it.”

https://goo.gl/AFukQb

Pointing to annual changes in active listings data at realtor. com®, Yun said increasing inventory in several large metro areas, and especially many out West, will likely help cool price growth to more affordable levels going forward. Even as days on market remains swift in many of these areas, Denver, Santa Rosa, California, San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, California, Seattle, Nashville, Tennessee, and Portland, Oregon was among the large markets seeing a rise in active listings in July compared to a year ago.

Earlier this week, NAR released commentary reflecting on the past decade since the beginning of the Great Recession. Although supply and headwinds are the biggest issue right now, Yun said it is important to note just how much the housing market has recovered since the depths of the financial crisis. Today, thanks to several years of solid job growth, as well as safe lending and regulatory policy reforms, foreclosures sit near historic lows and record high home values have helped millions of households build substantial wealth.

“Rising inventory levels – especially if new home finally starts picking up – should help slow price appreciation to around two-and-four percent, which will help aspiring first-time buyers, and be good for the long-term health of the nation’s housing market,” said Yun.

Yun expects existing-home sales this year to decrease 1.0 percent to 5.46 million, and the national median existing-home price to increase around 5.0 percent. Looking ahead to next year, existing sales are forecast to increase 2 percent and home prices around 3.5 percent.

July Pending Home Sales Regional Breakdown

The PHSI in the Northeast climbed 1.0 percent to 94.6 in July but is still 2.3 percent below a year ago. In the Midwest, the index inched up 0.3 percent to 102.2 in July but is still 1.5 percent lower than July 2017.

Pending home sales in the South declined 1.7 percent to an index of 122.1 in July, and are 0.9 percent below a year ago. The index in the West decreased 0.9 percent in July to 94.7 and is 5.8 percent below a year ago.

The National Association of Realtors® is America’s largest trade association, representing 1.3 million members involved in all aspects of the residential and commercial real estate industries.

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* The Pending Home Sales Index is a leading indicator for the housing sector, based on pending sales of existing . A sale is listed as pending when the contract has been signed but the transaction has not closed, though the sale usually is finalized within one or two months of signing.

The index is based on a large national sample, typically representing about 20 percent of transactions for existing-home sales. In developing the model for the index, it was demonstrated that the level of monthly sales-contract activity parallels the level of closed existing-home sales in the following two months.

An index of 100 is equal to the average level of contract activity during 2001, which was the first year to be examined. By coincidence, the volume of existing-home sales in 2001 fell within the range of 5.0 to 5.5 million, which is considered normal for the current U.S. population.

NOTE: NAR’s August Housing Minute video will be released on August 31, Existing-Home Sales for August will be reported September 20, and the next Pending Home Sales Index will be September 27; all release times are 10:00 a.m. ET.

Happy Sellers and Buyers,and Customers

As a Real Estate  for over 28 years, my ultimate goal is to let my experience and knowledge help my customers realize their goal, which is to sell or buy there home.  Do I get asked how  I differ from all the other agent’s out there? Well, the answer is my experience and my past record does speak for itself not only in what I do but how I do it! Most agents will do the minimum marketing to save a dollar in their pockets and never think “out of the Box”. My team is taught to always find new ways to get every unique customer’s home out to the largest population of potential buyers and sellers by concentrating not on the cost but to find the qualified buyers and sellers. All agents will do the general work as to put you in MLS (Multiple Listing Service} and send out postcards but what else do they generally do? Well if your working with our team you not only get the Standard marketing you get Worldwide Marketing with over 86 different websites as well as we as a team call your neighbors and our database of over 14,000 people to let them know you have placed your home on the market or you are looking for a particular home. In short, we always go above and beyond to help our customers not only get what they want but to save as much money as possible in the process and make everything very smooth all the way through closing.

https://youtu.be/aZ7Dc9cMHGU

 

Core Logic report of Homes Sales Statistics

 

 

The CoreLogic Home Price Insights report features an interactive view of our home price analysis through May 2018 with Forecasts from June 2018 including live maps.

CoreLogic HPI™ is designed to provide an early indication of home price trends. The indexes are fully revised with each release and employ techniques to signal turning points sooner.

CoreLogic HPI Forecasts™ (with a thirty-year forecast horizon), project CoreLogic HPI levels for two tiers—Single-Family Combined (both Attached and Detached) and Single-Family Combined excluding distressed sales.

The report is published monthly with coverage at the national, state and Core Based Statistical Area (CBSA)/Metro level and includes home price indices (including distressed sale); home price forecast and market condition indicators. The data incorporates more than 40 years of repeat-sales transactions for analyzing home price trends.

https://www.corelogic.com/insights-download/corelogic-home-price-insights.aspx

May 2018 National Home Prices

Home prices nationwide, including distressed sales, increased year over year by 7.1 percent in May 2018 compared with May 2017 and increased month over month by 1.1 percent in May 2018 compared with April 2018 (revisions with public records data are standard, and to ensure accuracy, CoreLogic incorporates the newly released public data to provide updated results).

 

Forecast Prices Nationally

The CoreLogic HPI Forecast indicates that home prices will increase by 5.1 percent on a year-over-year basis from May 2018 to May 2019, and on month-over-month basis home prices are expected to be up 0.3 percent from May 2018 to June 2018.

The CoreLogic HPI Forecast is a projection of home prices using the CoreLogic HPI and other economic variables. Values are derived from state-level forecasts by weighting indices according to the number of owner-occupied households for each state.

HOUSING INVENTORY: LOWEST IN DECADES

 

 

 

 

 

 

Resale inventory is at the lowest level in more than 18 years and continues to decrease. New home construction hasn’t kept pace with demand, and the result is an inventory shortage at a time when demographic and economic indicators are moving upward for the .

One way to measure for-sale housing inventory is with “months’ supply,” which shows how many months it would take to sell the available inventory at the current sales pace, as if no other came on the market, which is unlikely but it is a good snapshot to measure health.

Month's Supply Lowest In More Than 18 Years

The housing market is seasonal, so when comparing the data over time we look at these numbers for the same month of each year. In March 2018, the months’ supply was approximately 3.8 months measured across the country, which means it would take only 3.8 months to sell all the existing houses listed at the March 2018 sales pace.  The March 2018 supply was about the same level as in March 2017, but well below where it was during the Great Recession, and tighter than it was before the housing boom. By this measure, inventory is the tightest it’s been in over 18 years.

Inventory Tight for Entry-Level Buyers

When we dig deeper into inventory at different price levels we see that inventory for entry-level homes is even tighter. Using the median price as the reference, we look at months’ supply for homes listed at different price points, for those homes listed at the entry-level (priced from 50 percent of median sale price up to 25 percent above) there was only a 3-month supply available for sale. There is more supply at higher price points – close to 7 months for homes listed for more than twice the median sale price.

Areas of the country with strong job growth have even lower supply. Denver, Seattle, and San Francisco have about 2 months of supply, making each of those cities a sellers’ market. Miami, with a supply made up mostly of condos, has the highest supply of the largest metros at 9 months.

Month's Supply in Large Metro Areas

The incredibly tight inventory on the low end has pushed prices up for that segment of the market. As measured by the CoreLogic Home Price Index, prices for lower-end homes increased by almost 10 percent year over year in March 2018, while prices for higher-priced homes increased by 6 percent. Increases for lower-end homes can price entry-level buyers out of the housing market, keeping a lid on overall home sales.

© 2018 CoreLogic, Inc. All rights reserved.

 

 

 

Resale inventory is at the lowest level in more than 18 years and continues to decrease. New home construction hasn’t kept pace with demand, and the result is an inventory shortage at a time when demographic and economic indicators are moving upward for the housing market.

One way to measure for-sale housing inventory is with “months’ supply,” which shows how many months it would take to sell the available inventory at the current sales pace, as if no other homes came on the market, which is unlikely but it is a good snapshot to measure health.

Month's Supply Lowest In More Than 18 Years

The housing market is seasonal, so when comparing the data over time we look at these numbers for the same month of each year. In March 2018, the months’ supply was approximately 3.8 months measured across the country, which means it would take only 3.8 months to sell all the existing houses listed for sale at the March 2018 sales pace.  The March 2018 supply was about the same level as in March 2017, but well below where it was during the Great Recession, and tighter than it was before the housing boom. By this measure, inventory is the tightest it’s been in over 18 years.

Inventory Tight for Entry-Level Buyers

When we dig deeper into inventory at different price levels we see that inventory for entry-level homes is even tighter. Using the median price as the reference, we look at months’ supply for homes listed at different price points, for those homes listed at the entry-level (priced from 50 percent of median sale price up to 25 percent above) there was only a 3-month supply available for sale. There is more supply at higher price points – close to 7 months for homes listed for more than twice the median sale price.

Areas of the country with strong job growth have even lower supply. Denver, Seattle, and San Francisco have about 2 months of supply, making each of those cities a sellers’ market. Miami, with a supply made up mostly of condos, has the highest supply of the largest metros at 9 months.

Month's Supply in Large Metro Areas

The incredibly tight inventory on the low end has pushed prices up for that segment of the market. As measured by the CoreLogic Home Price Index, prices for lower-end homes increased by almost 10 percent year over year in March 2018, while prices for higher-priced homes increased by 6 percent. Increases for lower-end homes can price entry-level buyers out of the housing market, keeping a lid on overall home sales.

© 2018 CoreLogic, Inc. All rights reserved.

Tavistock buys 1,000-plus acres of Orlando airport land for $64M

Lake Nona is expanding its boundaries south of and it now owns the land it needs.

Lake Nona developer  Development Co. LLC’s related entity TDCP LLC spent $63.9 million, or roughly $55,700 per acre, on May 10 for nearly 1,147 acres south of International Airport from the Greater Orlando Aviation Authority and the city of Orlando, Orange County records showed.

The three different parcels, two in Orange County and one in Osceola County along Narcoossee and Boggy Creek roads, will be used by Tavistock to develop a portion of a mixed-use project west of Narcoossee Road, north and east of Boggy Creek Road near the Orlando VA Medical Center, Tavistock spokeswoman Jessi Blakley told Orlando Business Journal.

The project, known as the Poitras planned development, includes:

  • 2,973
  • 100,000 square feet of commercial use
  • A school on 25 acres

Tavistock previously sought approval from the city earlier this month to rezone the property as a planned development with aircraft noise.

The 11,000-acre Lake Nona already has billions of dollars worth of underway and there’s even more growth ahead. See the photo gallery above for a sampling of Lake Nona projects in the works, and read more from OBJ‘s Doing Business in Lake Nona event from earlier this month.

Developer plans new 2,558-acre community near Lake Nona

A planned 2,558-acre, mixed-use community going up near wants to change some of its plans.

The Starwood project, being developed by Beachline South Residential LLC on land south of State Road 528 and east of State Road 417, will add a high school and new signage into the mix of commercial uses and thousands of .

Applicant Dewberry Engineers Inc., which is the civil engineer and landscape architect for the project, sent a submittal to the city of Orlando to amend the future land-use map and planned-use development map. The request will be discussed at a June 19 municipal planning board meeting.

“The changes are mostly the result of an agreement reached with Orange County School Board regarding placement of a high school site within the development,” the project description reads. The changes are also a result of the road realignment on Dowden Road.

Beachline South Residential LLC, an entity of Palm Beach Gardens-based Land Innovations LLC, wants to build:

  • Office space on 1,680 acres
  • Commercial space on 81 acres
  • Public recreation and institutional areas consisting of 65 acres
  • Industrial space on 33 acres
  • Roughly 670 acres will be set aside for conservation.

The development team also includes Donal W. McIntosh Associates Inc. as the surveyor, VHB as the traffic consultant, Bio-Tech Consulting Inc. as the environmental consultant and Devo Engineering Co. as the geotechnical engineer.

Proposed home sites will range from 20-foot townhome lots to 70-foot estate lots, Mattamy Homes said in a news release. Communities amenities will include centers of different sizes throughout the community as well as a more than 20-mile system of interconnected walking trails and bike paths.

“Orlando continues to demonstrate that it is one of the strongest markets in the state of , as evidenced by the positive demographic trends including employment and population growth,” Mattamy Homes Orlando Division President Alex Martin previously said in a prepared statement. “We consider the Starwood Property an excellent complement to our existing Randal Park community and an opportunity to maintain our strong presence in this highly desirable and rapidly growing area of Central Florida.”

Jay Thompson, Land Innovations managing partner, had said the home prices would start at about $230,000 and go up to $1 million.

Millennial homebuyers are not actively seeking

 

Good morning, Orlando!

Millennial homebuyers are not actively seeking to buy a house in Orlando, according to a new study by LendingTree.

In fact, out of the 100 cities ranked, Orlando came in at No. 80. See the data here.

Mortgage requests for buyers under 35 were analyzed between Feb. 1, 2017, and Feb. 1, 2018, then ranked alongside data about the average age of the buyer under 35, credit score, down payment and requested loan amount.

The study found cities in the Sun Belt like Las Vegas, Tuscon, Ariz., and five Florida cities as least popular, which could be because of their popularity instead with retirees, as well as high cost of living, according to LendingTree.

About one-third of mortgage requests through the company were from those 35 years old and younger.

And be sure to check out these other Monday headlines:

New project with shops, may be on tap for the area near SunRail station
A South Florida developer is eyeing 18 acres near the SunRail station in southwest Orlando for a possible mixed-use development. The project would include apartments, townhomes and a two-story office-and-retail building on Sand Lake Road and Orange Avenue. More here.

RESIDENTIAL REAL ESTATE
Images revealed of apartment buildings at Disney’s Flamingo Crossings
Rendering of the community center at Flamingo Crossings

Online mortgage lender expands into Florida, seeks to disrupt the industry
Lenda, an online mortgage company that claims it can close home loans 3.5 times faster than the industry average is expanding into Florida. Lenda uses a predictive algorithm, rather than going through human loan officers, to determine whether a borrower is creditworthy. More here.

N.C. food production biz considers adding 95 jobs in Melbourne
MG Foods Inc., a North Carolina-based food production, packaging, and distribution company, has applied for property tax breaks with Brevard County in order to expand its workforce by 95 jobs, Florida Today reports. More here.

How to get a piece of the work on the next phase of OIA’s new terminal
Orlando International Airport is looking for some help as it plans the next phase of its $2.15 billion expansion. The Orlando airport — the busiest airport in the state — is a huge driver of the area’s and the new south terminal will raise its capacity by 10 million passengers. More here.

Mortgage rates hold steady
Mortgage rates held steady this week, according to Freddie Mac. The 30-year fixed mortgage averaged 4.45% for the week ending March 22, essentially unchanged from 4.44% the previous week. Favorable mortgage rates have helped propel U.S. home sales and the refinance market.

And higher gas prices are on the way
Expect higher gas prices this week, AAA says. The Florida average has risen 10 of the past 12 days, climbing a total of 6 cents. You can expect prices to climb at least another 10 cents in the coming weeks. Gas prices in Orlando currently average $2.48 a gallon.

What Does The 2018 Housing Market Look Like?

Oftentimes, it’s difficult to predict the . In the last decade alone, we’ve seen a market crash and slow rebound.

However, while some experts are focused on yet another housing bubble, real estate has been on the rise. In October, sales of new U.S. single-family homes hit their highest level in 10 years across the country.

What’s the market forecast for next year? Industry insiders and top experts have similar predictions.

As a future or current homeowner, it’s important to stay on top of the changes in real estate. Read on to learn what the 2018 housing market has in store.

Inventory Shortages

New home sales may be on the rise, but the number of available is on the decline.

Low home inventory has made home prices more expensive in recent years. This trend will continue in 2018, making it more difficult for first-time and budget-focused buyers to enter the market.

There are 12 percent fewer homes on the market than there were a year ago. If this trend continues, homebuyers will be faced with stiffer competition and higher prices. This will make the demand for home purchase loans even greater.

What’s contributing to this low inventory? There are several theories.

Rising housing costs have added emphasis to high-end construction. More expensive homes are being built, which is making it more difficult to find affordable homes.

Homeowners might also be less likely to sell their homes than they were pre-crash. Despite it being a seller’s market, they aren’t looking to enter the market. They’d rather stay locked into their current mortgage.

Whatever the reason, the inventory shortage is expected to continue. Low inventory and high prices will force new homebuyers to get creative if they want to find an affordable home.

Housing Market Opportunities

Certain demographics have seen an abundance of housing opportunities. They can expect these opportunities to be even greater in 2018.

One such demographic is sellers of mid-priced single-family homes. These are some of the most in-demand homes across the nation.

Developers and sellers can make big money on this valuable sector of the market. More millennials are seeking to buy starter homes while baby boomers are scaling back.

The housing shortage isn’t all bad for buyers. Experts are predicting that housing prices will slow down in the coming year.

Forecasts show that the average U.S. house price growth will be 4.9 percent in 2018, which is lower than the 6.6 percent growth seen in the second quarter of 2017.

Prices might be curbed thanks to mortgage rates. A moderate increase in mortgage rates should help decrease refinancing activities.

You can still expect higher growth in big markets such as Seattle and San Francisco. Yet good mortgage rates, limited refinancing, and market stability will still help buyers in 2018.

Your Next Move

Predictions show low-inventory, high-prices, and market stability in 2018.

You don’t have to wait until these predictions come to fruition. Contact us now to learn more about buying your dream home. We offer free loan advice with no cost or obligation.